Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-20 3.145461 3.323090 3.511383 3.726881 3.968009 4.231075 4.541963
2025-04-27 2.929755 3.176909 3.452248 3.785413 4.182878 4.649004 5.248395
2025-05-04 2.791701 3.094433 3.446446 3.894352 4.462317 5.178962 6.189540
2025-05-11 2.643402 2.982307 3.390471 3.932608 4.658693 5.640882 7.163810
2025-05-18 2.494033 2.853673 3.299296 3.912835 4.774705 6.017828 8.136682
2025-05-25 2.323681 2.684527 3.140545 3.784660 4.721840 6.142161 8.760362
2025-06-01 2.204664 2.571399 3.044060 3.729314 4.763791 6.418786 9.763049
2025-06-08 2.108839 2.481201 2.969926 3.696147 4.832538 6.753508 11.047683
2025-06-15 2.039828 2.421301 2.931378 3.709066 4.973866 7.248707 13.008198
2025-06-22 1.948534 2.325806 2.836240 3.627471 4.947549 7.425522 14.315658
2025-06-29 1.854290 2.221445 2.722089 3.506831 4.839106 7.416321 15.105224
2025-07-06 1.783978 2.146561 2.645615 3.438452 4.813573 7.576429 16.639337
2025-07-13 1.741911 2.113548 2.634374 3.483914 5.022198 8.369972 22.157813
2025-07-20 1.704796 2.085609 2.628946 3.539263 5.263931 9.370212 32.645866
2025-07-27 1.680492 2.074496 2.647915 3.638221 5.617195 10.901760 64.937386
2025-08-03 1.642726 2.041762 2.631371 3.674061 5.849867 12.280391 190.823164
2025-08-10 1.596465 1.994182 2.588430 3.658126 5.966052 13.386566 NaN
2025-08-17 1.533351 1.918907 2.497395 3.545727 5.836817 13.458026 NaN
2025-08-24 1.487877 1.868160 2.442999 3.497342 5.856184 14.225263 NaN
2025-08-31 1.449501 1.826459 2.400873 3.468391 5.919833 15.303721 NaN
2025-09-07 1.421650 1.799431 2.381010 3.480275 6.092821 17.229647 NaN
2025-09-14 1.379789 1.749465 2.320817 3.407891 6.026947 17.711035 NaN
2025-09-21 1.333743 1.691698 2.245397 3.300354 5.849440 17.334766 NaN